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First of all, learning history does not give you the ability to predict the future, it expands our history horizon and gives us the ability to look at life from different perspectives. The future is chaotic, unpredictable. Even the most knowledgeable should speak very modestly and abstaining about the future.
The need to feed the army, which emerged as a result of prolonged wars, and spending resources for defense, such as urbanism, social activities, food supply to the public, and civil bureaucracy, caused the cities to become neglected by looting and invasions, and to become inoperable by the citizens.
Surely we don't know. All we can say by looking at history is that the future is unpredictable and full of surprises.